Selected book midpoint
4.0–5.0% · —
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Stored reference
4.0–5.0% 96%Leader of 10 outcomes
4.0–5.0% 96%Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$124.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$95.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
4.0–5.0%Spread
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Comments
17
7d Change
-0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 21, 26, 11:23 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · 4.0–5.0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”.
- The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
- If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026.
