UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

7.5% (24h)EconomyOne-Off8mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

1-2% 42%-1.6%

Leader of 7 outcomes

Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

Liquidity

$627.5

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

8.0% / 72.0%

Spread

800.0%

Wide spread

7d Change

+0.5%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 22, 26, 3:29 PMFeb 12, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

1-2%42%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year.

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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$915

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Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

$300

Yes: 27.8%

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June Unemployment Rate

$155.3

4.4%: 32%

POLYMARKET

US real GDP growth in 2030?

$154.9

2.6% to 3.0%: 11%

KALSHI

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

$92.8

Yes: 47.8%

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HyperliquidHYPE$55.58+0.44%

LitecoinLTC$42.57+0.39%

Rules

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year.

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

7.5% (24h)EconomyOne-Off8mo

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

1-2% 42%-1.6%

Leader of 7 outcomes

Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

Liquidity

$627.5

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

8.0% / 72.0%

Spread

800.0%

Wide spread

7d Change

+0.5%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 22, 26, 3:29 PMFeb 12, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

1-2%42%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,755.53+2.09%

EthereumETH$1,654.77+1.39%

SolanaSOL$65.10+1.39%

Related Markets

US recession by end of 2026?

$3.7K

Yes: 20%

POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$915

5.0%: 17%

POLYMARKET

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

$300

Yes: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

June Unemployment Rate

$155.3

4.4%: 32%

POLYMARKET

US real GDP growth in 2030?

$154.9

2.6% to 3.0%: 11%

KALSHI

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

$92.8

Yes: 47.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.30%

XRPXRP$1.11+0.22%

BNBBNB$596.04+1.69%

CardanoADA$0.1642+2.25%

HyperliquidHYPE$55.58+0.44%

LitecoinLTC$42.57+0.39%

Rules

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026.
The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year.