KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityExactly 3.3% 0%Leader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 2.0%
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Dec 15, 25, 3:00 PMNov 6, 26, 1:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Exactly 3.8%3%
Volume trend
$100Jul 78d of dataJul 25
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Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?
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KALSHIUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
$0Exactly 3.3%: 3%KALSHI
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UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
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US economic state at the end of 2026?
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US recession by end of 2026?
$532.1Yes: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.