PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
3.0-3.5% · —
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Stored reference
3.0-3.5% 40.2%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
3.0-3.5% 40.2%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.7K
Liquidity
$5.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$5.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
3.0-3.5%Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+12.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 31, 26, 11:43 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 3.0-3.5%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
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PolymarketJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
PolymarketUS GDP growth in Q3 2026?
PolymarketUK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
PolymarketWill Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.