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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. 2026: Trump's dream year?
2026: Trump's dream year?

2026: Trump's dream year?

3.1% (24h)EconomyOne-OffUS PoliticsPolitics1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 9%+3.1%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$6

Liquidity

$1.8K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

5.7% / 8.7%

Spread

52.6%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Dec 17, 25, 3:00 PMDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes9%

Rules

If **ALL** of the following occur:

Kalshi
  • Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2.
  • Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3.
  • GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4.
  • The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
  • then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,606.90+2.26%EthereumETH$1,649.46+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.57%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.64%XRPXRP$1.12+0.27%BNBBNB$595.40+1.66%

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Rules

If **ALL** of the following occur:

Kalshi
  • Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2.
  • Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3.
  • GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4.
  • The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
  • then the market resolves to Yes.