KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 97.3%
No 97.3%Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$369.5
Open interest
$191.3K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Dec 17, 25, 3:00 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
KalshiUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill two Democratic and two GOP Senators cosponsor an AI bill that mentions widespread job loss from AI before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:VoteHubU.S. House of RepresentativesU.S. SenateBureau of Economic AnalysisBureau of Labor StatisticsBureau of Labor Statistics
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: - "Will Trump's VoteHub approval rating rise above 48% in 2026?" uses POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - "Will Republicans retain control of the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms?" uses CONTROL - "Will U.S. GDP grow by more than 5% in any quarter from Q4 2025 to Q4 2026 (inclusive)?" uses LGDP - "Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stay below 5% in 2026?" uses ECONSTAT For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period. Additional specifications: POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - the threshold need only be met once during the period; CONTROL - based on the Speaker of the House and President Pro Tempore of the Senate on Feb 1, 2027; LGDP - based on real GDP, quarter-over-quarter percent change, seasonally adjusted at annual rates (SAAR)
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
