Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
0.3 pts (24h)EconomyOne-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Shutdown & Democratic · —
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Stored reference
Shutdown & Democratic 92%Leader of 4 outcomes
Shutdown & Democratic 92%Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$170
Liquidity
$174.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$20.9K
Bid / Ask
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Shutdown & DemocraticSpread
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Comments
12
7d Change
-0.9 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Dec 9, 25, 6:47 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
No Shutdown & DemocraticLost
No Shutdown & RepublicanLost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Shutdown & Democratic
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
On which dates will the US government be shutdown?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).
- The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
- Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
- The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
- Which party will win the House in 2026?