Conditional on the threat of a government shutdown, will president Biden “mint the coin?"
EconomyOne-OffPoliticsUS Politics3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 9, 23, 4:33 AM UTCFeb 1, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
See related market for context: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-president-biden-mint-the-coin
- This market resolves N/A if there is never an actual credible threat of a government shutdown during the Biden administration.
- If there is, and president Biden orders the mint to strike one or more platinum coins of collective denominations high enough to evade the budgetary issues, this market immediately resolves YES as soon as the coin(s) exist(s).
- Should the threat arise and should Biden "mint the coin," this market resolves YES regardless of whether he does so in time to actually avert a government shutdown or not.
- Should the threat arise and should Biden NOT "mint the coin", this market resolves NO if the government shuts down for any amount of time.
- Should the threat arise and should Biden NOT "mint the coin", and a government shutdown is averted through any other means, this market resolves N/A.
