Current implied probability
Above -0.1% 90%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 99.0%
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Feb 20, 26, 3:00 PMDec 10, 26, 1:25 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above -0.1%90%
Volume trend
$1Jul 217d of dataJul 22
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
CPI in July
$5.6KAbove -0.1%: 86%
KALSHI
KALSHICPI in September
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KALSHICPI in August
$53Above 0.2%: 44%KALSHI
KALSHI
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$80Yes: 51%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
$30Yes: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many jobs added in July?
$050k – 100k: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026).
- Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.0% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.1% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.