KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Exactly 0.2% 50%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Dec 15, 25, 3:00 PM UTCDec 10, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.2% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price IndexBureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.1% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.0% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly 0.3% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $417.1K
- 24h Vol
- $41.4K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $644.9K
- 24h Vol
- $39.4K
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $92.7K
- 24h Vol
- $8.9K
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026??
- Kalshi prices Exactly 0.2% at 50% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? resolve?
- CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 10, 2026.
- How is CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the CPI core month-over-month is exactly -0.2% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.