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Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 3:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Exactly 3.5% 8%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Dec 15, 25, 3:00 PM UTCDec 10, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.0% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
- If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.1% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.2% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.3% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.4% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.5% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $105.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $662.8K
- 24h Vol
- $55.1K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $417.9K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $92.7K
- 24h Vol
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $21.3K
- 24h Vol
- $8.5K
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026??
- Kalshi prices Exactly 3.5% at 8% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026? resolve?
- CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 10, 2026.
- How is CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.0% in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.