KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 0.0% 99%Leader of 7 outcomes
Above 0.0% 99%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$1.2K
Low open interestSpread
12.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Nov 6, 25, 3:00 PM UTCOct 29, 26, 12:25 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?
KalshiCore PCE YoY - August 2026
PolymarketUS Core PCE inflation (year-over-year) — August 2026
FutuurUS Core PCE inflation (month-over-month) — August 2026
FutuurRules
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in September 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
- It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in September 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in September 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in September 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.