KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 0.0% 90%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$240
Low liquiditySpread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 6, 25, 3:00 PM UTCNov 25, 26, 1:25 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?
KalshiCore PCE MoM - August 2026
PolymarketCore PCE YoY - August 2026
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.2% in August 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
- It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi prices Above 0.0% at 90% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? resolve?
- How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 25, 2026.
- How is How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.