KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 0.0% · —
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Stored price
Above 0.2% 53%Market line of 5 lines
Above 0.2% 53%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8
Open interest
$923
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 0.0%Spread
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Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Nov 6, 25, 3:00 PM UTCDec 23, 26, 1:25 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Above 0.0%
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?
KalshiCore PCE MoM - October 2026
PolymarketCore PCE YoY - October 2026
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.6% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 2.9% in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in November 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data. It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 0.0%
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in November 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.1%
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in November 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.2%
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in November 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.3%
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in November 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.4%
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.4% in November 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.