KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 4.5% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
At least 4.5% Stored bid–ask16.4%–16.9%Collected: Last trade: 16.2% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 6 lines
At least 4.5% Stored bid–ask16.4%–16.9%Collected: Last trade: 16.2% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Open interest
$233.8K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 4.5%Spread
—
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 15, 26, 3:00 PM UTCFeb 14, 27, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 3596s (informational)
Market depth · At least 4.5%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
Rules for each outcome
- At least 4.5%
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5.0%
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5.5%
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6.0%
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6.5%
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 7.0%
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.