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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Inflation
  3. How high will inflation get this year?
How high will inflation get this year?

How high will inflation get this year?

1.7% (24h)InflationOne-OffAwaiting resolution
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
At least 4.0%
At least 4.0% 100%+1.7%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

32 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$188.8

Liquidity

$2.4K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jan 15, 26, 3:00 PMJun 10, 26, 2:43 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

At least 4.5%48%

Rules

If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 3% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 3.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$61,373.64-0.79%EthereumETH$1,616.78-1.85%SolanaSOL$62.86-3.52%

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Manifold Markets

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Manifold Markets

In a true free market. Prices would naturally fall . In other words deflation

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Rules

If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 3% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 3.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.