Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

InflationOne-OffEconomy4mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Above 2.6% 88%

Leader of 15 outcomes

Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$2.4

Liquidity

$1.7

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

76.0% / 77.0%

Spread

1.3%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jun 10, 26, 6:00 PMOct 14, 26, 12:25 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 2.6%88%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$61,999.77+1.15%

EthereumETH$1,633.32+0.58%

SolanaSOL$64.39+0.09%

Related Markets

Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

$6.1

Above 2.2%: 99%

KALSHI

Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

$3.9

Above 2.6%: 72%

KALSHI

Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

$0.8

Above 2.4%: 75%

KALSHI

US economic state at the end of 2026?

$3.4

Overheating: 48%

POLYMARKET

How high will inflation get in 2026?

$26.4K

Above 4%: 100%

POLYMARKET

June Inflation US - Annual

$767.3

4.1%: 22%

POLYMARKET

Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.0838-0.08%

XRPXRP$1.11-0.96%

BNBBNB$590.75+0.61%

CardanoADA$0.1623-0.01%

HyperliquidHYPE$54.02-3.26%

LitecoinLTC$42.15-0.77%

Related News

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindesk

Strategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindesk

Bitcoin price stalls near $64K before key U.S. inflation dataCrypto News

Bitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto News

Blame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindesk

U.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Rules

In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

InflationOne-OffEconomy4mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Above 2.6% 88%

Leader of 15 outcomes

Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$2.4

Liquidity

$1.7

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

76.0% / 77.0%

Spread

1.3%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jun 10, 26, 6:00 PMOct 14, 26, 12:25 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 2.6%88%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$61,999.77+1.15%

EthereumETH$1,633.32+0.58%

SolanaSOL$64.39+0.09%

Related Markets

Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

$6.1

Above 2.2%: 99%

KALSHI

Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

$3.9

Above 2.6%: 72%

KALSHI

Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

$0.8

Above 2.4%: 75%

KALSHI

US economic state at the end of 2026?

$3.4

Overheating: 48%

POLYMARKET

How high will inflation get in 2026?

$26.4K

Above 4%: 100%

POLYMARKET

June Inflation US - Annual

$767.3

4.1%: 22%

POLYMARKET

Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.0838-0.08%

XRPXRP$1.11-0.96%

BNBBNB$590.75+0.61%

CardanoADA$0.1623-0.01%

HyperliquidHYPE$54.02-3.26%

LitecoinLTC$42.15-0.77%

Related News

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindesk

Strategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindesk

Bitcoin price stalls near $64K before key U.S. inflation dataCrypto News

Bitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto News

Blame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindesk

U.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Rules

In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.