PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
2.5–2.9% 35%-0.1ptLeader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$85
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.6 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 22, 26, 12:24 AM UTCJan 18, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month.
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $70.4K
- 24h Vol
- $24.8K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%+0.5pt40.4%
- 3.7%-1.5pt24.8%
- 3.5%+5.0pt21.1%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.1K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- 3.5–3.9%-5.9pt55.7%
- 4.0-4.4%-2.6pt16.5%
- 2.5–2.9%-0.1pt10.3%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+2.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-1.3pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
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- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
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- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- CPI core in September
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Canada Annual Inflation 2026?
- Polymarket prices 2.5–2.9% at 35% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Canada Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
- Canada Annual Inflation 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 18, 2027.
- How is Canada Annual Inflation 2026 settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.