KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 447,500 jobs · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Above 457,500 jobs Stored bid–ask41%–42%Collected: Last trade: 39% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 7 lines
Above 457,500 jobs Stored bid–ask41%–42%Collected: Last trade: 39% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$18.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 447,500 jobsSpread
—
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 10:00 PM UTCApr 30, 27, 3:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 447,500 jobs
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Rules
If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 457,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry, measured in thousands of jobs. Relevant BLS monthly series: SMS55000003000000001 — Wisconsin Manufacturing, All Employees. The officially published annual-average figure will be used rather than independently averaging monthly estimates.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 447,500 jobs
- If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 447,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 450,000 jobs
- If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 450,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 452,500 jobs
- If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 452,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 455,000 jobs
- If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 455,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 457,500 jobs
- If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 457,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 460,000 jobs
- If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 460,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 462,500 jobs
- If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 462,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
