Above 677,400 jobs
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 79.5%
Yes 79.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$11.4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 6:00 PM UTCApr 30, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026
PolymarketWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 80,000 in October 2026?
ForecastExRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The Underlying is BLS’s officially published 2026 annual-average Manufacturing employment for Ohio, measured in thousands of jobs. The threshold of 677.4 thousand jobs is fixed and will not change if the 2025 figure is subsequently revised.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.