KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove $6.40 8%-2.0%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.9K
Liquidity
$611.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 11.0%
Spread
37.5%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Apr 6, 26, 5:00 PMDec 31, 26, 6:25 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above $6.408%
Compare venues· Above $4.60
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 59% | — | $6.9K | $611.6K | 23 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets90% match · verified | — | 100% | — | — | — | 23 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
How high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
5mo
100%
100%
100%
+14 more outcomes
Community forecast46 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.0k89.0%KALSHIAbove $5.80 — No18d ago
KALSHIAbove $5.80 — No18d agoVolume trend
$6.9kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.