KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $4.60 40%-1.0ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.1K
Liquidity
$688K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Mar 24, 26, 12:00 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:25 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US gas prices on Election Day
KalshiHow low will US gas prices get in 2026?
KalshiWill US gas prices hit $6/gallon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will US gas prices get in September?
KalshiHow high will US unemployment go in 2026?
PolymarketIn which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?
Manifold MarketsRules
If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
CommoditiesPOLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $246.1K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-11.0pt40%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-15.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $89.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $88.49+5.0pt99%
- Above $87.99+4.0pt99%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+26.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+16.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+3.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $96.5097%
- Above $9596%
- Above $95.5095%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $82.3K
- 24h Vol
- $82.3K
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt11%
- September 30+0.3pt2%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Copper price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Brent crude oil price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Gas prices in the US in Sep 2026?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Gold price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How high will US gas prices get in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Above $4.60 at 40% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How high will US gas prices get in 2026? resolve?
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is How high will US gas prices get in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is How high will US gas prices get in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.