KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 12:03 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above $4.60 · —
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Stored price
Above $4.60 46.5%Market line of 13 lines
Above $4.60 46.5%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.9K
Open interest
$935.1K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $4.60Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 6, 26, 5:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:25 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Above $4.60
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?
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KalshiWill US gas prices hit $6/gallon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats US House Popular vote % be 12x or more the US Gas Price average on election day?
Manifold MarketsRules
If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
Rules for each outcome
- Above $4.60
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.80
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5.00
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5.20
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5.40
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5.60
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $5.80
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $5.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $6.40
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $6.40 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $6.60
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $6.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $6.00
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $6.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $6.20
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $6.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $6.80
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $6.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $7.00
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $7.00 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
