KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 2.50 99%+1.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.4K
Liquidity
$130.4K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Mar 24, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US gas prices this week
KalshiUS gas prices tomorrow
KalshiHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
KalshiWill US gas prices hit $6/gallon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?
Manifold MarketsWill national gas prices in the US average above $3.60
Manifold MarketsRules
If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $2.75 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.00 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.25 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.50 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.75 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Price of gas on Election Day? · $4.26 - $4.50 26%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US gas prices on Election Day?
- Kalshi prices Above 2.50 at 99% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does US gas prices on Election Day resolve?
- US gas prices on Election Day is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is US gas prices on Election Day settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is US gas prices on Election Day listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.