PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
54.0 to 54.9 29.4%+24.1ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
54.0 to 54.9 29.4%+24.1ptMarket quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.1K
Liquidity
$5.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.5 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 5:07 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US ISM Services PMI for October
KalshiISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026
PolymarketISM Manufacturing PMI in October
KalshiWill the freight transportation services index exceed 140 in August 2026?
ForecastExWill the freight transportation services index exceed 141 in August 2026?
ForecastExWill the freight transportation services index exceed 138 in September 2026?
ForecastExRules
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for October 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for October 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on November 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.