PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
46.0 to 48.9 42.2%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
46.0 to 48.9 42.2%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquiditySpread
25.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 2:38 AM UTCOct 23, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for October 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for October 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
- The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for October 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on October 23, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
- Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8).