Moody's or S&P downgrades France by which date?
2.5 pts (24h)One-OffBonds & TreasuriesMacro & Economy1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
November 30 · —
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
November 30 72%
November 30 72%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
November 30Spread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 3:02 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · November 30
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026?
FutuurFreddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
KalshiAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketUS credit rating downgrade in 2026?
KalshiUS defaults before 2027?
KalshiUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term sovereign credit rating for the Republic of France, at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying downgrade by either agency is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes." A downgrade by both agencies is not required.
- For purposes of this market, “long-term sovereign credit rating” means any of the following: S&P Global Ratings’ long-term foreign-currency sovereign credit rating or long-term local-currency sovereign credit rating on France; or Moody’s Ratings’ long-term issuer rating or senior unsecured rating on the Government of France.
- A lowering of any of these qualifies.
- A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade), an affirmation of an existing rating, a withdrawal of a rating, or a change to a short-term rating will not qualify.