KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Exactly 2.50% · —
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Stored price
Exactly 2.50% 55%Leader of 8 outcomes
Exactly 2.50% 55%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$408.4
Open interest
$13.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Exactly 2.50%Spread
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Market data
Updated 46 minutes ago
LaggingMay 6, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:28 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Exactly 2.50%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
PolymarketNumber of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the October 28, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 25bps at the December 9, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill the Bank of Canada lower the rate 50bps or more at the December 9, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20?
FutuurRules
If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bank of Canada
- The “overnight rate target” refers to the Bank of Canada’s policy interest rate, not the Bank Rate, deposit rate, Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average, prime rate, bond yields, or any other interest rate. The market will resolve based on the Bank of Canada’s officially stated target for the overnight rate that is in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
Rules for each outcome
- Exactly 2.50%
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 2.75%
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 1.75%
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 1.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 2.25%
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.00%
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 1.50%
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 1.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 2.00%
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 2.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.25%
- If the Bank of Canada overnight rate target on December 31, 2026 is exactly 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
