KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Maintains rate 82.8%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 9, 25, 2:00 PM UTCDec 9, 26, 2:29 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Bank of Canada does a Cut of >25bps at its Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ReutersThe Wall Street JournalFinancial TimesThe New York TimesAssociated PressCNNBBCBloomberg NewsAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostABCCBSFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 0bps at its Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 25bps at its Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Central Banks
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $512.1K
- 24h Vol
- $51.4K
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $91.1K
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.4pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-0.2pt1%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-15.0pt74.3%
- 25 bps increase+15.5pt25.7%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+3.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-3.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $51.2K
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Bank of Brazil decision in November?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026??
- Kalshi prices Maintains rate at 83% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026? resolve?
- Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 9, 2026.
- How is Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Bank of Canada does a Cut of >25bps at its Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.