KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 2:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Hike 1-25bpsAwaiting result
Before close: 97% ·
Maintain current rateAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Cut 1-25bpsAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Cut more than 25bpsAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Hike more than 25bpsAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New Zealand rate decision in December
KalshiReserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
KalshiReserve Bank of India rate decision in December
KalshiFed rate decision in October 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Japan rate decision in October
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Rules for each outcome
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at October Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Maintain current rate
- If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of Maintain current rate at October Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at October Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at October Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of New Zealand takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at October Monetary Policy Review meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.