PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
25 bps increase · —
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
25 bps increase 75%Leader of 5 outcomes
25 bps increase 75%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$203.9
Liquidity
$9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
25 bps increaseSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 10:13 PM UTCDec 17, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · 25 bps increase
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: October 2026
LimitlessWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold Markets🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — European Central Bank rate decision in December · Hike 1-25bps 72%
- Also available on Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 · 25 bps increase 75%
