KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 5.0% · —
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Stored price
Above 5.6% 36%Market line of 8 lines
Above 5.6% 36%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 5.0%Spread
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Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 3:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 5.0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit / Household Debt and Credit Data Bank for Auto Loans in the series “Percent of Balance 90+ Days Delinquent by Loan Type.” Use the first value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for Q3 2026. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 5.0%
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.8%
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 4.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.2%
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.4%
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.6%
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.8%
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 5.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.2%
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 6.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.0%
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q3 2026 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.