KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Good Day 91%Leader of 47 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$297.6
Liquidity
$10.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
21.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 10:00 PM UTCOct 29, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says the named outcome at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- How this is resolved Video of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.
Open markets
Fed
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.1pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $53.1M
- 24h Vol
- $84.1K
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.5%
- No change43.6%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.8M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.8%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt45.8%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46.8K
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $70.3K
- 24h Vol
- $24.8K
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase67.3%
- No change30.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference??
- Kalshi prices Good Day at 91% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? resolve?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? is scheduled to resolve on October 29, 2026.
- How is What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says the named outcome at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.