KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Apr 1, 2027 54%Leader of 6 outcomes
Before Apr 1, 2027 54%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Open interest
$465.7K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 36 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 4:45 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before Sep 18, 2026Lost
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Apr 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?
PolymarketKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiTrump publicly insults Warsh by which date?
PolymarketWill J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump publicly insult someone on?
PolymarketRules
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Donald TrumpFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCNew York TimesCBSthe White HouseThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersBloomberg Newsthe Associated PressPoliticoDonald Trump's official social media accountsTrump OrganizationSave America PACThe InformationMSNBCNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must: Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of Kevin Warsh The criticism must be directed at Kevin Warsh by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to Kevin Warsh in a clear and unambiguous manner The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning Kevin Warsh in a neutral or positive context Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 18, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.