Robinhood (Rothera)Limited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityH 0 63.3%+1.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.1K
Liquidity
$399.7K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Rothera Exchange cleared market: Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026).
- Prices are from end-of-day exchange clearing settlement.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Fed decision in October? · No change 70%
- Also available on Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · No change 66%
- Also available on Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 66%
- Also available on Polymarket — Fed Decision in October? · No change 66%
Open markets
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate43.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-2.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $632.2K
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.9pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)?
- Robinhood (Rothera) prices H 0 at 63% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) resolve?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) is scheduled to resolve on October 30, 2026.
- How is Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) settled?
- Robinhood (Rothera) settles this market as follows: Rothera Exchange cleared market: Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026).
- Where else is Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket.