When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Macro & EconomyFedCentral BanksBonds & Treasuries3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast>2026 95.3%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.3 pts
Market data
Updated 40 minutes ago
Jul 5, 23, 2:52 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.4%
0.2%
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ForecastExRules
Judged by https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/mortgage-rates
- (unless a better measure is suggested)
- Related Markets:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)?
- Manifold Markets prices >2026 at 95% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) resolve?
- When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Judged by https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/mortgage-rates