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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Macro & Economy
  3. When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold Markets

When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)

Macro & EconomyFedCentral BanksBonds & Treasuries6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
2023 0.7%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters

21

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 days ago

Stale
Jul 5, 23, 2:52 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

20231%

Rules

Judged by https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/mortgage-rates

Manifold Markets
  • (unless a better measure is suggested)
  • Related Markets:

Related Markets

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

$0
Exactly 1.50%: 0%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

30 year interest rates greater than 7.5% by EOY 2028

$0
Yes: 30%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% by the end of July 2026?

$100
Yes: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

$10.3
Before Jan 2027: 13%KalshiKALSHI
Will rates hit zero in 2026?

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

$6.7
Yes: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

$155
2.8-3.0%: 47%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

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Rules

Judged by https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/mortgage-rates

Manifold Markets
  • (unless a better measure is suggested)
  • Related Markets: