KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 260 · —
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Stored price
Above 300 43.5%Market line of 8 lines
Above 300 43.5%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$16.2K
Open interest
$15.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Above 260Spread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 16, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 260
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
KalshiTraffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
KalshiWill the Kra Isthmus Canal open before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 300 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 260
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 260 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 270
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 270 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 280
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 280 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 290
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 290 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 300
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 300 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 310
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 310 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 320
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 320 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 330
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 330 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
