Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
2.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffMiddle EastCrime & Justice2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 19%+2.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
December 31 19%+2.0ptMarket quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$67.1K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
45
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jun 25, 26, 11:22 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
August 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 15Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
September 30Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.”
- A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally to all commercial vessels, or a defined subcategory of commercial vessels (e.g., vessels flagged to the US and its allies).
- Isolated demanded charges will not qualify.
- A fee is mandatory if, in practice, affected commercial vessels cannot transit or access the Strait of Hormuz without paying it, regardless of whether Iran characterizes the payment as voluntary or a fee for services.
- Fees described as tolls, maritime fees, service charges, environmental fees, security fees, insurance charges, etc. will qualify provided they are recognized as mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz by a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., a mandatory insurance fee charged by the Iranian Persian Gulf Strait Authority would qualify).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? · August 31 50%