PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 9%+0.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$496.6
Liquidity
$96.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.3% / 0.5%
Spread
66.7%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.7%
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 4:02 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 319%
Large trades
$1.7k92.0%POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? — NoDFK8d ago
POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? — NoDFK8d ago$1.2k98.8%POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? — Nothird-eye12d ago
POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? — Nothird-eye12d ago$1.3k89.0%POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? — Noconotocaurius12d ago
POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? — Noconotocaurius12d ago$1.6k76.4%POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? — Noconotocaurius12d ago
POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? — Noconotocaurius12d ago$1.3k94.4%POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? — NoshingoWAKAYAMA12d ago
POLYMARKETUS charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? — NoshingoWAKAYAMA12d agoVolume trend
$497Jul 1314d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
- Any payment amount or rate will count.
- Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
- The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count.