PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 8:59 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 4%Leader of 4 outcomes
December 31 4%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$62.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$28.9K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
7
7d Change
-0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 13, 26, 4:02 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 31Lost
July 17Lost
July 31Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
LimitlessWhat US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?
Manifold MarketsWill Fees for Passing the Strait of Hormuz Persist?
Manifold MarketsUS imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?
PolymarketMidterms: which issue matters most to voters?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
- Any payment amount or rate will count.
- Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
- The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count.