Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNarco-Terrorism Conspiracy 60.7%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 4, 26, 5:59 PM UTCJan 5, 28, 5:48 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if a jury returns a guilty verdict on the given count in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York (Case No. S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) or through a valid guilty plea to that count.
- Resolves NO if the count results in acquittal, mistrial without conviction, or dismissal.
- The resolution is based solely on the formal verdict or plea outcome in U.S. federal court and does not consider convictions in any other jurisdiction or appellate outcomes.
- Market resolves upon jury verdict or guilty plea acceptance by the court, whichever occurs first.
- This market is specifically regarding the charges against Maduro, not the other defendants.
- Close date is provisional.
