Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsLatin America5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 10%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$12.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 11.0%
Spread
37.5%
Wide spread7d Change
+3.0%
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 8:23 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes10%
Volume trend
$22Jul 515d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.