FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 89%
No 89%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$836.2
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
PolymarketWill María Corina Machado be granted asylum outside Venezuela in 2026?
FutuurWhat will happen when María Corina Machado returns to Venezuela ? [add answers] (reupload)
Manifold MarketsWill María Corina Machado serve in a leadership role in a government in Venezuela by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Maria Corina Machado ever be President of Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts whether Venezuelan political leader María Corina Machado will be arrested at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, an arrest means physical detention by authorities with intent to hold in custody.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements or records from Venezuelan authorities or other competent law enforcement bodies.
- If María Corina Machado is physically detained under arrest during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary questioning or harassment without arrest will not count.
