Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
0.4% (24h)One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaEntertainmentMusic6mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityEdmundo González 5%+0.4%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$71.2
Liquidity
$11.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 7.0%
Spread
40.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 8:00 PMDec 31, 26, 2:59 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Edmundo González5%
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If Edmundo González Urrutia officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following:
- Edmundo González Urrutia has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela Edmundo González Urrutia is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as the head of state of Venezuela Edmundo González Urrutia is actively serving as the head of state of Venezuela with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)
- The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role:
- Nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective Appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026 Previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026 Serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity Named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed Holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself
- Clarification (04/15/26): To help clarify this market, if the Expiration Date were today at this time, this market would resolve Yes to Nicolás Maduro and No to all other strikes.