Who will publicly congratulate/acknowledge Lula as the winner of the Brazil election before the end of October?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America5d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastZohran Mamdani 100%Leader of 23 outcomes
Forecasters
30
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+49.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 25, 26, 10:58 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves if the listed person publicly congratulates or acknowledges Lula as the winner of the 2026 Brazil presidential election before 11..59pm ET October 31 2026
- Must be public, rumours/reports a phone call may have occurred don’t count.
- Look for public statements, social media posts etc. Resolves based on statements, so even if someone acknowledges him as the winner but he ends up losing, that answer will still resolve yes.
