Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
5.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 75.3%-5.0pt
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
23.0% / 26.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
30
7d Change
+15.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Mar 9, 26, 10:23 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 25%. Quotes span about 18 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 25% · 2 venues · 18 pt venue spread
