PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 6%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$14K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.5%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Mar 9, 26, 10:23 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Compare venues· No
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FutuurMost active | 93% | +87pt | $566.5 | $0 | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | 95% | +89pt | $0 | $14K | 1 minute ago |
Also available on Futuur
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
5mo
7%
93%
40 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$566.5
24h Vol$566.5
FUTUURRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$10Jul 53d of dataJul 7
Related Markets
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$4.1MJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Graham Platner drop out?
$2.1MBefore Jul 14, 2026: 91%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.3MGavin Newsom: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Graham Platner drop out by...?
$425.5KNovember 2: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
$271.5KBefore August: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$189.7KJames Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.NewsRoss impeachment warning hits Polymarket as Starmer exit odds rise to 91.5%Blockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.