Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
3.0 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffPoliticsLatin America3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 67%
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$600.9
Liquidity
$3.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
27.0% / 32.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Alexandre de Moraes leaves as Justice of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Supremo Tribunal Federal
- Alexandre de Moraes must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role.
- This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If Alexandre de Moraes vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract shall settle on the initial vacation of the role.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? · No 91%
- Also available on Polymarket — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No 72%
- Also available on Futuur — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? · No 93%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court??
- Kalshi prices No at 67% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? resolve?
- Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Alexandre de Moraes leaves as Justice of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Polymarket, Futuur.