KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2028 48%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2028 48%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Open interest
$7.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingSep 1, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes?
KalshiImpeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the fake news inquiry be closed in Brazil's Supreme Court by the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil Supreme Court decisions still behind captcha by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Alexandre de Moraes leaves as Justice of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Supremo Tribunal Federal
- Alexandre de Moraes must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If Alexandre de Moraes vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract shall settle on the initial vacation of the role.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Alexandre de Moraes leaves as Justice of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Alexandre de Moraes leaves as Justice of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Alexandre de Moraes leaves as Justice of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? · No 86%
- Also available on Polymarket — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No 95%
- Also available on Futuur — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? · No 86%
