Will the fake news inquiry be closed in Brazil's Supreme Court by the end of 2026?
US PoliticsOne-OffLatin America2mo
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 70%
No 70%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$484
Low liquidityTraders
8
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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FutuurRules
This event predicts whether Inquiry #4781, known as the Fake News Inquiry, will be formally closed or archived by Brazil’s Supreme Court (STF) between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official STF records or decisions indicating the closure or archiving of the inquiry.
- If Inquiry #4781 is formally closed or archived by the STF during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If only some aspects of the inquiry are closed while the inquiry continues in substance, Futuur will use its discretion to assess whether this constitutes a substantive closure.
- If official STF records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Brazilian news organizations.
