PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
No 85%
No 85%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$37
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jan 6, 26, 4:08 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
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KalshiRules
This market shall resolve as Yes if any individual is confirmed to the role of Chief Justice or Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026.
- Any nomination that does not result in a confirmation shall have no effect on the outcome of this market.
The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
Confirmation of an Associate Justice to the position of Chief Justice is sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.