Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 94.3%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleSep 2, 24, 8:54 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
The 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair
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PolymarketRules
As indicated by the Organization of American States.
- Resolves YES if the OAS finds the election is generally free and fair.
- Resolves NO if the OAS finds the election to be not free or not fair.
- If OAS does not comment, I will use my judgement to resolve the market based on another observer, likely considering this list of high-quality election monitoring organizations.
- I'll wait up to two years from the date of the election to get time for comment from OAS.
- If the OAS issues a preliminary report with a clear finding, that will be sufficient to resolve the question.