Free & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin AmericaEurope2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.6%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 57 minutes ago
LaggingJan 6, 26, 6:44 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael holds free and fair election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsThe 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair
Manifold MarketsWill the United States Midterm Elections be free and fair?
Manifold MarketsWill New Mexico expand its FAIR Plan?
KalshiDouble Chance Saloon – bet YES to have two chances to win
Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves YES if a presidential election takes place in Venezuela on or before December 31, 2026, where:
- The election is for the office of President of Venezuela
- Voting occurs
- Election is considered generally free & fair by at least one major international observer not including the USA (e.g., OAS or EU or UN observer)
- The election is officially conducted by Venezuelan governmental authorities
- Resolves NO otherwise.
