Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.4%
Forecasters
42
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJan 3, 26, 6:14 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves YES if a presidential election takes place in Venezuela on or before December 31, 2026, where:
- The election is for the office of President of Venezuela
- Voting occurs (whether the election is considered free/fair internationally is not relevant for resolution)
- The election is officially conducted by Venezuelan governmental authorities
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Venezuelan governmental authorities" means whatever authority controls the territory of Venezuela, including:
