María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?
1.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsLatin AmericaCrime & Justice2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 86%
No 86%Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$80
Liquidity
$10.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$504.3
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 44 minutes ago
Oct 26, 26, 11:54 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
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Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
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- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
María Corina Machado arrested in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhat will happen when María Corina Machado returns to Venezuela ? [add answers] (reupload)
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if María Corina Machado is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
