Trump announces Canada tariff increase by which date?
4.5 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionGeopolitics3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
October 31 56%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$250
Liquidity
$9.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 4:17 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the White House, or any Cabinet member publicly and officially announces a tariff increase on Canada between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any tariff increase which is officially announced within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect.
- The announced replacement of an existing tariff with a tariff of a higher rate will qualify, but the replacement of an existing tariff with a tariff of an equal or lower rate will not qualify.
- The announced imposition of a relevant new tariff at any rate will also qualify.
- A qualifying announcement must be made by Donald Trump, through an official White House publication or communication, or by a White House official authorized to speak on behalf of Donald Trump or the White House, including members of the Cabinet.