Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
One-OffTrade PolicyUS PoliticsChinaPoliticsElection2y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 19%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$12.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jan 10, 25, 3:00 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes19%
Volume trend
$0.50Jul 322d of dataJul 26
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If a free trade agreement with China has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.