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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

One-OffTrade PolicyUS PoliticsChina2y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 34%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$119.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

35.0% / 41.0%

Spread

17.1%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Jan 10, 25, 3:00 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes34%

Rules

If a new free trade agreement with China has become law before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If a new free trade agreement with China has become law before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi